这是特朗普效应吗? 右翼民粹主义和对加拿大邮政投票的不信任
1York Research Chair and Associate Professor, Department of Sociology, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Public opinion quarterly
|August 7, 2024
概括
加拿大的右翼民粹主义与信任邮寄选票的降低有关,特别是在右翼倾向的个人中. 政治媒体的曝光加剧了这种效应,反映了美国的趋势.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 选举行为 选举行为
- 公众的意见 公众的意见
背景情况:
- 邮政投票的"特朗普效应"在美国被记录在案.
- 加拿大邮政投票在上次大选中增加.
- 选举过程的政治化可能会影响公众的信任.
研究的目的:
- 检查右翼民粹主义与加拿大人对邮寄投票的信任之间的联系.
- 测试民粹主义观点是否与信任邮寄选票的下降相关.
- 为了确定政治媒体的曝光是否会放大这种关联.
主要方法:
- 来自2021年加拿大选举研究的数据分析.
- 来自民主检查调查的数据分析.
- 统计检查民粹主义观点,政治媒体曝光,以及对邮寄投票的信任.
主要成果:
- 具有民粹主义观点的加拿大人对邮寄投票的信任度较低.
- 这种效应在右倾人士中尤为明显.
- 更多的政治媒体曝光放大了民粹主义观点与信任邮寄投票之间的负面关联.
结论:
- 右翼民粹主义对加拿大邮政投票的信任产生了负面影响.
- 政治媒体的消费加剧了那些有民粹主义观点的人的不信任.
- 邮寄投票的政治化对美国以外的选举合法性有影响,包括加拿大.
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