对具有两阶段退化路径的逆高斯过程的可靠性分析
Yuying Liang1, Zaizai Yan1, Lijun Sun1
1College of Science, Inner Mongolia University of Technology, Hohhot, 010051, PR China.
Heliyon
|August 8, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一种新的可靠性分析模型,用于具有两阶段降解的产品,使用反向高斯过程计算不对称的降解率. 该模型提高了对表现出异常降解模式的产品的准确性.
科学领域:
- 可靠性工程可靠性工程
- 统计建模 统计建模
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
背景情况:
- 传统的可靠性模型经常假设对称的降解率,这可能不能准确地代表所有产品.
- 两阶段降解过程是常见的,但用标准方法精确建模具有挑战性.
- 不对称的降解率可以显著影响产品寿命预测.
研究的目的:
- 为两阶段降解过程开发一种新的可靠性分析方法.
- 将不对称的随机效应纳入降解模型.
- 为预测退化产品的使用寿命提供更准确的框架.
主要方法:
- 建立一个两阶段的逆高斯 (IG) 降解过程模型.
- 包括一个偏斜的正常随机效应来捕捉不对称的退化.
- 使用施瓦兹信息标准 (SIC) 确定变化点.
- 通过最大概率估计 (MLEs) 和遗传算法 (GA) 结合的参数估计.
主要成果:
- 拟议的逆高斯模型有效地处理两个阶段过程中的不对称降解率.
- SIC,MLE和GA的组合提供了可靠的参数估计.
- 蒙特卡洛模拟和电池示例验证了模型的实用性和准确性.
结论:
- 开发的模型为具有不对称的两阶段退化产品的可靠性分析提供了更现实的,更准确的方法.
- 这种方法可以改善工程应用中的寿命预测和产品设计.
- 该研究强调了考虑非正常降解模式对于精确的可靠性评估的重要性.
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