集成模拟-替代品-优化建模框架,用于在水库运营中实现社会经济和生态目标之间的多重权衡
Chunyuan Xu1, Zhihao Xu2, Xiaoxiao Li1
1Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, Institute of Environmental and Ecological Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China.
Journal of environmental management
|August 9, 2024
概括
优化水库运营平衡水量和水质,以确保安全和生态系统健康. 一个新的模式提高了生态和社会经济效益,特别是在干旱年.
科学领域:
- 环境科学环境科学
- 水资源管理水资源的管理.
- 生态建模 生态建模
背景情况:
- 综合水库管理对于水源安全和河流健康至关重要.
- 空间时间的水质变化和指标响应使最佳水库运行变得复杂.
- 平衡水量,水质和生态需求面临重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 为水库运营开发一种结合的模拟-替代品-优化方法.
- 为了解决管理多个水量和质量目标的复杂性.
- 加强对可持续水库管理的决策.
主要方法:
- 环境流体动力学代码 (EFDC) 用于水质模拟.
- 包含时空空间异质性的生态损害评估.
- 使用外源输入 (NARX) 的非线性自回归网络用于替代模型.
- 将代用模型集成到储水池运行优化中.
主要成果:
- 优化操作导致营养物质分布更加均,减少度峰值和生态损害.
- 运营变化对水库内和下游的生态目标产生了复杂的,有时是相反的影响.
- 在干旱年实现了生态和社会经济效益的显著增加 (9.4%-16.4%).
结论:
- 拟议的方法有效地损害了水库运营中的多个社会经济和生态目标.
- 通过优化管理,可以获得生态和社会经济效益之间的协同作用.
- 这项研究为解决水库运营中的权衡提供了有价值的工具.
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