动态分析北塞浦路斯的甲素耐药黄金葡萄球菌感染与最佳控制:流行率和认识
Nezihal Gokbulut1,2, Muhammad Farman3,4, Ulas Hurdoganoglu5
1Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Department of Mathematics, Near East University, 99138, Nicosia, North Cyprus. nezihal.gokbulut@neu.edu.tr.
Scientific reports
|August 9, 2024
概括
增加的甲素耐药黄金葡萄球菌 (MRSA) 感染突显了需要提高认识的必要性. 专注于手部卫生和口罩的公共卫生干预措施对于防止社区获得的MRSA (CA-MRSA) 和医院获得的MRSA (HA-MRSA) 传播至关重要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 传染病建模 传染病建模
背景情况:
- 全球范围内,在社区和医院环境中,抗甲素黄金葡萄球菌 (MRSA) 感染正在增加.
- 了解传播动态对于制定有效的预防策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和分析MRSA感染动态的数学模型.
- 评估意识和最佳控制策略对MRSA传播的影响.
主要方法:
- 制定了一个非线性确定性模型,并对积极性和独特性进行了分析.
- 数学技术,包括利亚普诺夫函数,用于稳定性分析.
- 在使用七年医院数据的数值模拟中,采用非标准的有限差异 (NSFD) 方案.
主要成果:
- 该模型探索了各种参数对生殖数量的影响,并进行了灵敏度分析.
- 最佳控制策略确定了提高对手部卫生和戴口罩的意识作为关键干预措施.
- 数字模拟可视化了不同场景下的MRSA感染动态.
结论:
- 社区获得的MRSA (CA-MRSA) 和医院获得的MRSA (HA-MRSA) 病例都在增加.
- 关于传播的公众宣传活动对于控制MRSA传播非常重要.
- 促进手部卫生和口罩使用的干预措施对于预防MRSA传播至关重要.
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