基于注册数据的芬兰高中教育未完成的预测因素
Susanna Raisamo1, Tytti Pasanen1, Petri Hilli2
1Knowledge base for health and welfare management/Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare (THL), Helsinki, Finland.
Scandinavian journal of public health
|August 10, 2024
概括
未经授权的缺席和家庭之外的安置是学校未完成的最强有力的预测因素. 登记数据分析确定了早期干预和预防策略的关键因素,以改善教育成果.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 教育教育教育教育教育教育.
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 在全球范围内,学校未完成是重要的公共卫生和教育问题.
- 识别高中教育未完成的预测因素对于干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用基于人口的登记册数据,识别高中学业未完成的最强预测因素.
- 为防止学校学提供多学科策略的信息.
主要方法:
- 采用了交叉验证的弹性净回归分析.
- 研究人员利用了来自芬兰Jyväskylä的2696名学生的社会,医疗和教育登记册的数据.
主要成果:
- 整体未完成率为13.1%.
- 关键预测因素包括未经授权的缺席 (OR=2.27),家庭外安排 (OR=2.23),中学初级 (OR=0.73),焦虑/抑郁症诊断 (OR=1.43),儿童辅导访问 (OR=1.17),家庭贫困 (OR=1.11),以及5年级的平均成绩 (OR=0.95).
结论:
- 登记数据有效地识别了学校未完成的强有力的预测因素.
- 这些预测因素可以作为早期预警信号和预防行动的监测指标.
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