男性30种癌症的负担:2022年的全球统计数据和2050年的预测,使用基于人口的估计
Habtamu Mellie Bizuayehu1, Abel F Dadi2,3, Kedir Y Ahmed4
1School of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Cancer
|August 12, 2024
概括
全球男性癌症负担正在上升,发生率和生存率的显著差异预计到2050年将恶化. 应对这些趋势需要加强卫生系统,促进癌症平等的全民健康覆盖.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 男人面临更高的癌症发病率和更低的生存率,由于可修改的风险因素,如吸烟和酒精.
- 全球关于癌症负担和男性之间的年龄和国家差异的数据仍然有限.
- 这项研究分析了2022年男性的30种癌症类型,并预测了2050年的趋势.
研究的目的:
- 在2022年全面评估全球男性癌症负担.
- 预测男性癌症发病率和死亡率的未来趋势,直到2050年.
- 为了确定不同年龄组和国家癌症负担和生存率的差异.
主要方法:
- 在185个国家/地区使用了2022年GLOBOCAN估计的癌症统计数据.
- 计算的死亡率与发病率 (MIRs) 来评估生存率.
- 分析了根据年龄组和人类发展指数 (HDI) 类别分层的癌症数据.
主要成果:
- 在2022年,高MIR (低生存率) 在老年男性 (≥65岁),罕见癌症 (例如胰腺癌) 和在HDI低的国家中被注意到.
- 预计2022年至2050年间,癌症病例将增加84% (10.3至1900万),死亡人数将增加93% (5.4至1050万).
- 预计所有年龄组和人类发展指数水平的癌症病例和死亡人数将大幅增加,其中老年男性和低/中等人类发展指数国家比例上升幅度最大.
结论:
- 观察到2022年男性癌症的实质性差异,预测显示到2050年,这一差距将越来越大.
- 迫切需要在全球范围内加强卫生基础设施,劳动力和获得护理的机会.
- 促进全民健康覆盖和国际合作对于实现男性癌症平等至关重要.
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