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中国的低碳体育产业的区域协调发展
1College of Physical Education, Chongqing University of Arts and Sciences, Chongqing, 402160, China. X_H_Y22694@126.com.
Scientific reports
|August 12, 2024
概括
中国低碳体育产业的发展效率正在增加,但区域差异正在扩大. 空间分析揭示了聚类模式,突出了协调区域发展战略的需要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 体育管理体育管理
- 区域经济学 区域经济学
背景情况:
- 低碳体育产业对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 了解时空效率趋势对于政策制定至关重要.
- 中国的区域发展差异需要有针对性的分析.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个系统的框架来分析中国低碳体育产业发展效率的时空演变.
- 为制定有针对性的政策提供理论见解.
- 预测到2025年的未来发展趋势.
主要方法:
- 一个系统的建模框架,整合了一个预测模型 (最佳缓冲操作员灰色预测),一个超级SBM模型和空间自相关分析.
- 对中国30个地区 (2006-2021年,预测到2025年) 的数据进行实证分析.
主要成果:
- 最佳缓冲操作员灰色预测模型显示出卓越的准确性.
- 从2006年到2021年,30个地区的发展效率总体上有所提高,达到0.4-0.6.6之间的峰值.
- 预计发达地区和欠发达地区之间的发展效率差距将越来越大.
- 空间自关联分析表明,开发效率的高高低低分类显著.
结论:
- 这项研究强调了低碳体育产业发展效率的日益增长趋势,但指出了日益增长的区域不平等.
- 空间聚类模式强调促进协调区域发展的必要性.
- 调查结果为制定有针对性的政策提供了基础,以解决区域差异并促进可持续增长.
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