根据改进的方法和指标,衡量中国各省的实物资本库存
PloS one
|August 13, 2024
概括
这项研究改进了对中国的测量.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 宏观经济分析 宏观经济分析
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
背景情况:
- 实体资本库存是一个关键的宏观经济指标.
- 在中国,衡量省级实物资本库存的现有方法存在局限性.
- 准确的测量对于理解经济表现至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个更可靠和合理的统计序列,用于中国的省级实物资本库存.
- 改进现有的资本库存测量的永久库存方法.
主要方法:
- 引入了与经济增长相关的可变折旧率公式.
- 改进了使用资本输出比率对初始实物资本库存的估计.
- 在1952年至2022年的省级数据中应用了精细的永久库存方法.
主要成果:
- 省级实物资本库存的增长放缓了,但仍然很高.
- 地区差异很大,东部地区拥有更高的资本库存.
- 精细的方法提供了更清晰的时间和空间特征的视图.
结论:
- 政策制定者应该加强市场机制,调整投资策略.
- 这些调整可以促进可持续的经济增长,并优化区域资本形成.
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