瑞士一般内科的现有和未来的劳动力:一个横截面研究
Lukas Reinhard1, Lars Clarfeld2, Niels Gobin3,4
1Institute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, Switzerland.
Swiss medical weekly
|August 13, 2024
概括
瑞士的一般内科工作人员面临着严重的短缺,预计到2033年,44%的员工将退休或减少工作时间. 迫切需要采取政治行动,确保提供足够的医疗保健服务.
科学领域:
- 医疗保健工作人员分析
- 一般的内科医学一般内科医学.
- 医疗政策 医疗政策
背景情况:
- 一般内科对医疗保健系统至关重要.
- 了解劳动力动态对于保持患者护理质量至关重要.
- 这些数据为有关医疗保健人员的重要政治决策提供了信息.
研究的目的:
- 分析瑞士目前和未来的通用医生劳动力.
- 计算2023年通用医师的全职等值 (FTE),并预测到2033年.
- 模拟需求场景并确定潜在的劳动力缺口.
主要方法:
- 分析瑞士通用医生劳动力的横截面研究.
- 调查由瑞士一般内科医学会 (SSGIM) 分发给会员.
- 基于报告的当前 (2023) 和计划的 (2033) 工作负载计算FTE.
主要成果:
- 33%的SSGIM成员参加了; 46%的女性,25%的年龄在56-65岁之间.
- 目前外推的FTE为5,246;到2033年,36%的人将退休,10%的人将减少工作量.
- 到2033年需要2,321个新的FTE (增加44%),以保持目前的劳动力水平.
结论:
- 预计到2033年,一般医生劳动力将大幅减少44%.
- 退休和减少工作量是这种预计短缺的主要驱动因素.
- 政策干预是必不可少的,为一般医生创造有吸引力的培训和工作条件,以满足未来的医疗保健需求.
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