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定量评估方法和定性评估系统对多能源的互补特征进行定量评估
Yichao Xu1, Zhiqiang Jiang1, Zenghai Zhao2
1Hubei Key Laboratory of Digital River Basin Science and Technology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Journal of environmental management
|August 13, 2024
概括
本研究为评估可再生能源系统的多能源互补性指数 (MECI) 和多能源波动性指数 (MEVI) 引入了新的数学模型. 调查结果显示,水力发电排放影响互补性和波动性,观察到季节性变化.
科学领域:
- 能源系统工程 能源系统工程
- 整合可再生能源的整合
- 定量分析 定量分析
背景情况:
- 优化多能源互补系统 (MECS) 需要了解可再生能源的互补性.
- 目前的研究缺乏统一的定量方法来描述MECS的互补性和稳定性.
研究的目的:
- 开发新的数学模型来量化可再生能源系统中的多能源互补性和波动性.
- 建立一个评估系统来分析多能源互补性特征.
主要方法:
- 提出了考虑零和非零输出周期的多能源互补性指数 (MECI).
- 开发了包含波动值的多能源波动指数 (MEVI).
- 应用模型分析了中国三个MECS的再生能源产量.
主要成果:
- 水力发电额定排放 (Q评级) 与MECI负相关.
- Q评级显示了与局部波动 (MEVI) 的整体负相关性.
- 观察到MECI和MEVI的显著季节性变化,与自然的可再生能源来源波动有关.
结论:
- 拟议的MECI和MEVI提供了量化工具来评估再生能源的互补性和稳定性.
- 结果支持对可再生能源基础的知情决策,并有助于实现二氧化碳目标.
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