个人活动水平异质性对在更高层次网络中疾病传播的影响
Ming Li1, Liang'an Huo1,2, Xiaoxiao Xie1
1Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|August 14, 2024
概括
个体活动水平在更高层次网络中显著影响疾病的传播. 增加活动增加了疫情爆发风险,而减少活动,如隔离,有助于疾病控制.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 数学建模的数学建模
背景情况:
- 个体活动会影响疾病传播的动态.
- 传统的对联网络模型对于具有更高阶交互的复杂系统是不够的.
研究的目的:
- 为疾病传播动态提出和分析一个更高阶的网络模型.
- 研究个体活动水平异质性对疾病传播的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用平均场方法,对感染个体的进化方程的推导.
- 人工和现实世界的高阶网络上的数值模拟.
主要成果:
- 活动水平的异质性显著改变了在更高层次网络中的疾病传播.
- 高阶相互作用创造了一个不连续的相变区,允许健康和疾病的共存.
- 增加个人活动导致更大的系统不稳定性和更高的爆发概率.
结论:
- 较高的活动水平与启动社会变革的可能性增加相关.
- 减少群体活动,例如通过隔离,是一种有效的疾病控制策略.
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