地中海地区水产养殖的演变:一个人为的高潮阶段?
1Department of Veterinary sciences, University of Torino, Grugliasco (TO), Italy.
PloS one
|August 15, 2024
概括
地中海水产养殖预计将大幅增长,尼罗河鱼和埃及预计将引领未来的发展. 欧洲海和金头海有望扩张,这表明该行业的未来充满活力.
科学领域:
- 水产养殖科学 水产养殖科学
- 海洋生物学 海洋生物学
- 渔业管理 渔业管理
背景情况:
- 地中海水产养殖在1950年至2020年间发生了显著的发展.
- 扩张在功能上和地理上都发生了.
- 关键方面包括养殖物种和养殖国家.
研究的目的:
- 研究1950年至2020年地中海水产养殖的完整历史.
- 分析水产养殖的功能和地理扩张.
- 为了模拟地中海水产养殖的未来趋势.
主要方法:
- 对水产养殖生产的历史数据分析.
- 水产养殖活动的地理映射.
- 种类趋势分析.
- 经济和生态建模.经济和生态建模.
主要成果:
- 预计尼罗河鱼和埃及将主导未来的地中海水产养殖.
- 马耳他和以色列被确定为相对来说领先的生产国.
- 欧洲海和金头海是最普遍的物种,具有扩张潜力.
- 2020年水产养殖产量达到280万,预计到2030年将达到365万.
- 几个国家都有很大的发展潜力,可能的增长因子为5或更高.
结论:
- 未来的地中海水产养殖将由当前领先的国家和物种主导.
- 尼罗河鱼和埃及有望实现显著的增长和领导地位.
- 欧洲海和金头海是未来扩张的关键物种.
- 水产养殖在地中海地区提供了巨大的增长机会.
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