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Updated: Jun 16, 2025

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
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动态边际成本曲线以支持水资源管理
Andreas Nicolaidis Lindqvist1, Shane Carnohan2, Rickard Fornell2
1RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Ideon Beta5, Scheelevägen 17, 22370, Lund, Sweden; Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden; Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Sweden.
Journal of environmental management
|August 15, 2024
概括
本研究介绍了使用系统动态 (SD) 克服传统方法的局限性的动态边际成本曲线 (MCC). 该方法通过结合复杂性和时间间动态来增强环境政策分析和决策.
科学领域:
- 环境政策和环境管理
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 系统动力学建模系统动力学建模
背景情况:
- 传统的边际成本曲线 (MCC) 在环境政策中广泛用于成本效益分析.
- 传统的MCC面临的局限性包括缺乏透明度,未能考虑相互作用效应,辅助效益/成本和时间间动态.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用系统动态 (SD) 来开发动态MCC的新方法.
- 解决环境政策评估中传统MCC方法的记录限制.
- 评估这种方法在瑞典城市的水资源短缺管理中的应用.
主要方法:
- 基于系统动态 (SD) 模型的开发,以生成动态的MCC.
- 基于SD的模型应用于瑞典城市水资源短缺的案例研究.
- 整合行为时间图和因果循环图与动态MCC.
主要成果:
- 提出的基于SD的方法有效地克服了传统MCC的四个关键局限性.
- 动态MCC提供了对环境政策选择的更全面的评估.
- 与图形工具的整合提供了新的政策见解,并支持包容性决策.
结论:
- 系统动态建模为创建动态边际成本曲线提供了一个强大的框架.
- 动态MCC提高透明度,结合复杂性,并在政策分析中考虑时间间的动态.
- 这种综合方法促进了更加知情和包容的环境政策和管理决策.
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