分散繁殖延迟的离散种群模型的衍生和动态
Sabrina H Streipert1, Gail S K Wolkowicz2
1Department of Mathematics, University of Pittsburgh, 4200 5th Avenue, Pittsburgh, 15260, PA, USA.
Mathematical biosciences
|August 15, 2024
概括
如果成熟时间过长,预计会导致种群灭绝,而较长的延迟会增加灭绝风险. 较短,较少变化的成熟时间促进了较高的种群数量,并降低了灭绝的概率.
科学领域:
- 人口动态 人口动态
- 数学生物学的数学生物学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 离散的单个物种模型对于理解种群动态至关重要.
- 分布繁殖延迟和队列依赖生存影响人口稳定性.
- 成熟时间是物种繁殖成功和生存的关键因素.
研究的目的:
- 引入和分析一个新类别的离散种群模型,包括分布式延迟的繁殖.
- 调查成熟时间及其对种群灭绝风险变化的影响.
- 根据延迟参数来确定灭绝的关键值.
主要方法:
- 开发一个离散的单个物种模型,分布式繁殖延迟和队列依赖生存.
- 数学分析以证明存在人口灭绝的关键延迟值.
- 该模型应用于Beverton-Holt模型来研究全球动态.
主要成果:
- 确定了灭绝的临界延迟值 (τ ̃c);超过这个值会导致人口减少.
- 人口平衡随着延迟 (τ) 和延迟内核长度 (τM) 的增加而下降.
- 为了保持不变的生殖率,我们得出了tc和tm的特定方程和边界.
- 成熟时间的差异影响着种群数量和灭绝风险,更高的差异导致更好的结果.
结论:
- 延长的成熟延迟显著增加了单个物种种群的灭绝风险.
- 最小化和减少成熟时间的变化对于种群持续性至关重要.
- 该模型提供了关于生命史特征如何影响人口稳定性和生存的见解.
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