气候对出口企业多元化战略的影响:来自中国的证据
Junmei Zhang1,2, Lianying Yao1
1Global Institute for Zhejiang Merchants Development, Zhejiang University of Technology, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
PloS one
|August 16, 2024
概括
极端温度对企业的出口多样化产生负面影响,减少了产品的多样性. 随着气候变化加剧,企业面临越来越多的挑战,影响全球贸易战略.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 国际贸易 国际贸易 国际贸易
背景情况:
- 极端温度对全球经济稳定构成越来越大的威胁.
- 了解企业对气候变化的反应对于贸易政策至关重要.
- 由于全球制造业的角色,中国企业的出口行为提供了一个重要的案例研究.
研究的目的:
- 调查温度波动对出口市场多样化的影响.
- 分析极端温度如何影响企业的产品和目的地多样化战略.
- 确定影响企业适应气候变化的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用多产品贸易模式.
- 雇佣出口和中国企业的气象数据 (2000-2016).
- 进行实证分析以确定温度与出口多样化之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 温度和出口产品多样化之间存在一个反转的U形关系.
- 极端温度显著减少了新的和现有的出口产品的多样性.
- 一般贸易企业比加工贸易企业对极端温度的适应能力更强.
结论:
- 气候变化,通过加剧的极端温度,对企业的多元化发展提出了重大挑战.
- 可能需要政策干预,以支持企业适应与气候有关的贸易中断.
- 适应性受区域金融市场和能源消耗水平的影响.
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