侵入性猎物和不断变化的气候相互作用,塑造了临灭绝的捕食者的繁殖现象学
Robert J Fletcher1, Meghan A Beatty1, Lara Elmquist1
1Department of Wildlife Ecology and Conservation, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Global change biology
|August 20, 2024
概括
全球气候变化和侵入性猎物改变了动物繁殖现象学. 侵入性猎物,而不是变暖,可能会错过牛飞的繁殖时间,但会增加整体繁殖率.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
背景情况:
- 全球气候变化影响动物现象学,但其他全球变化的影响,如物种入侵,不太了解.
- 气候变化和入侵物种对现象学的协同效应至关重要,特别是对于具有不同热容忍度的物种.
- 了解这些相互作用对于预测人口动态和告知保护策略至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究侵入性猎物和温度升高对危牛风 (Rostrhamus sociabilis plumbeus) 的繁殖现象学和人口统计后果的综合影响.
- 隔离和量化气候变暖和猎物入侵对筑巢时间和繁殖成功的独特和互动作用.
- 评估现象错时的可能性及其对面对多个全球变化驱动因素的本地物种的人口影响.
主要方法:
- 利用25年的数据从5963个巢和4675标记的牛风在他们的美国繁殖范围.
- 采用统计分析来分离温度升温和侵入性猎物建立对繁殖现象学的影响.
- 检查了人口统计学后果,包括生存率和幼生存率,与现象时间和环境因素相关.
主要成果:
- 牛的繁殖季节长度在25年内翻了一番,增加了大约14周.
- 温度和侵入性猎物都相互作用,影响了开始时间;较早的化与较高的温度相关,而较晚的化随着猎物入侵而增加.
- 侵入性猎物,但不是变暖,显示出错误时机的繁殖现象学的潜力,尽管由于巢生存的季节性下降和更频繁的重新植入,由于入侵而增加的整体繁殖产量.
结论:
- 物种入侵可以深刻地改变本地物种的现象学,其影响与气候变化影响不同.
- 气候变暖和入侵物种之间的相互作用以复杂的方式推动了人口变化.
- 仅评估特定的人口组件可能不足以理解现象变化的全部后果.
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