在约旦安曼对热冷温度对死亡率的影响进行了19年的分析
Yazan Alwadi1, Wael K Al-Delaimy2, Fayez Abdulla3
1Environmental Health Department, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, United States of America.
The Science of the total environment
|August 20, 2024
概括
这项研究量化了极端温度对约旦安曼死亡率的影响. 女性更容易受到高温影响,而非约旦人则面临更高的寒冷风险,这凸显了有针对性的公共卫生战略的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 气候变化影响 气候变化影响
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 约旦对气候引起的健康影响的研究有限,特别是温度对死亡率的影响.
- 约旦的人口统计局面,包括难民人口,需要确定易受温度极端影响的群体.
- 这项研究解决了了解阿曼不同温度相关死亡风险的差距.
研究的目的:
- 为了量化与约旦安曼的高温和低温相关的死亡负担.
- 根据性别和国籍确定特定的人口子组,这些子组更容易受到极端温度的影响.
- 为制定针对气候变化适应的有针对性的公共卫生干预措施提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了19年的 (2000 - 2018) 阿曼每日所有原因死亡率数据,按性别和国籍分层.
- 采用时间序列设计与分布式滞后非线性模型来分析温度-死亡率关联.
- 针对不同人口群体的热和冷暴露的温度归因死亡率分数计算.
主要成果:
- 分析了184,166个因各种原因的死亡率,其中106,977名男性和22,118名非约旦人.
- 最低死亡温度有所不同:23.2°C (男性),21.5°C (女性),22.3°C (约旦人),24.7°C (非约旦人).
- 与男性 (1.17%) 相比,女性的发热死亡率 (2.59%) 较高. 非约旦人表现出比约旦人 (5.91%) 更高的因感冒而导致的死亡率 (8.36%).
结论:
- 阿曼的边缘化社区不成比例地容易受到极端温度的影响.
- 进一步的研究是必不可少的,以确定约旦境内面临风险的人口.
- 有针对性的保护战略对于保护弱势群体免受与气候有关的健康威胁至关重要.
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