外国的战争是否会影响国内的态度?
Margaryta Klymak1, Tim Vlandas2
1Department of International Development, Kings College London, London WC2R 2LS, United Kingdom.
PNAS nexus
|August 21, 2024
概括
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰显著改变了八个欧洲国家的态度. 公民对民主,欧洲和移民的支持有所增加,而威权主义观点则下降.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 国际关系 国际关系
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 现有的研究主要集中在冲突对直接参与国家的影响上.
- 外国冲突对非战斗,但受到威胁的国家态度的影响仍未得到充分探索.
研究的目的:
- 调查俄罗斯入侵乌克兰对八个非战争欧洲国家的经济和政治态度的影响.
- 分析外部威胁,即使没有直接的军事干预,如何塑造公众论.
主要方法:
- 利用自然实验设计,利用来自八个欧洲国家的调查数据.
- 这项研究与调查现场工作与俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的时间相吻合.
主要成果:
- 观察到对民主,经济再分配,欧洲一体化和移民的支持显著增加.
- 在被调查人群中发现,威权主义态度显著下降.
- 这些转变发生在那些没有直接参与冲突的军事国家.
结论:
- 外国冲突可以广泛影响外部威胁的非战斗国家的政治和经济态度.
- 这些发现强调了国际事件和国内公众论的相互联系,即使在远距离.
- 强调考虑地缘政治危机对社会态度的间接影响的重要性.
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