[在杭州市区推动土地使用变化和优化碳预算]
Shi-Yi Wang1, Yan Li1, Jia-Yu Yang1
1Institute of Land Science and Property, School of Public Affairs, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China.
Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue
|August 21, 2024
概括
杭州大都会地区的土地利用变化显示,碳来源超过了碳汇. 优化土地利用,特别是城市和农业区,对于实现低碳发展目标至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
背景情况:
- 气候变化和全球变暖需要了解碳预算.
- 土地利用变化对碳动态和实现碳中和目标产生重大影响.
研究的目的:
- 调查杭州大都市区土地使用变化影响的碳预算动态的驱动机制.
- 通过将土地利用管理纳入领土空间规划,提出低碳战略.
主要方法:
- 采用了库存会计,度指数和面板回归模型.
- 使用了"情景演员"政策分析框架.
- 从1995年到2020年分析了土地使用变化特征.
主要成果:
- 碳源容量明显超过了碳汇容量.
- 耕地面积和形状的规律性减少了碳预算,而建筑土地的扩张和碎片化增加了碳预算.
- 增加的耕地和土地使用异质性促进了碳预算平衡;工业和城市土地扩张导致分配不均.
结论:
- 优化低碳领土空间需要调整碳来源土地利用结构和形式.
- 中央政府和城市居民支持低碳控制,但地方政府,企业和农村居民需要补充政策.
- 结果为提高土地利用效率和促进低碳城市发展提供了实际见解.
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