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Updated: Jun 15, 2025

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博支出对犯罪有任何影响吗?
Wai Yin Wan1, Joanna Wang2, Donald J Weatherburn3
1NSW Department of Justice, NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research, Sydney, Australia.
Addiction (Abingdon, England)
|August 21, 2024
概括
新南威尔士州电子游戏机 (EGM) 支出增加与更高的财产和暴力犯罪率有关. 博支出增加10%与袭击和盗窃等犯罪的每年显著增加有关.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 澳大利亚是全球人均博支出最高的国家.
- 电子游戏机 (EGM) 占这一支出的近90%.
- 之前的研究缺乏对博支出和犯罪的纵向分析.
研究的目的:
- 对博支出与犯罪之间的关系进行严格的纵向分析.
- 估计博支出与犯罪率之间的短期和长期关联.
主要方法:
- 使用面板自回归分布式滞后 (ARDL) 建模进行纵向分析.
- 在澳大利亚新南威尔士 (NSW) 收集了关于每月EGM总支出利和每月犯罪率 (袭击,盗窃,车辆盗窃,欺诈) 的数据.
- 分析涵盖了2015年12月至2020年1月期间.
主要成果:
- 对EGM支出10%的增加与各种犯罪的每年显著增加有关.
- 具体的增加包括: 7.4%的袭击,10.5%的房屋盗窃,10.3%的非住宅盗窃,11%的机动车盗窃,8.2%的车辆盗窃和7.4%的欺诈.
- 这些发现表明,博支出与犯罪之间存在积极的关联.
结论:
- 电子游戏支出与新南威尔士州的财产和暴力犯罪都有积极的关联.
- 这项研究强调了增加博活动和犯罪行为之间的重要联系.
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