分析全球营养缺口及其通过再分配和增加供应来弥补的潜力
Andrew J Fletcher1,2,3, Raquel Lozano1,2, Warren C McNabb1,2
1Riddet Institute, Massey University, Palmerston North, New Zealand.
Frontiers in nutrition
|August 26, 2024
概括
全球粮食系统在公平的营养分发方面面临挑战,导致国家缺乏必需的维生素和矿物质,尽管全球供应充足. 解决这些差距需要有针对性的增加营养供应和改进食品分发战略.
科学领域:
- 全球粮食系统分析分析
- 营养科学 营养科学
- 可持续农业 可持续农业
背景情况:
- 全球粮食系统对于人类的生存至关重要,但营养物质的公平分配仍然是一个重大挑战.
- 当前的粮食生产在全球范围内可能足够,但差异导致特定人群的广泛营养不足.
- 了解营养分布对于开发有效解决全球粮食安全和健康差异的解决方案至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析全球营养物质供应变化,并使用DELTA Model®解决国家不足问题.
- 根据2020年的数据,预测到2050年未来的粮食生产需要足够的营养.
- 在全球粮食系统模型中开发一种现实的未来需求评估方法.
主要方法:
- 利用DELTA模型®根据全球粮食生产总量估计营养充足度.
- 分析了2020年全球粮食商品和营养物质分布数据.
- 应用了多十年的线性收到国家一级的足够性值,用于未来的预测.
主要成果:
- 虽然全球供应满足了一些营养需求,但许多国家面临维生素A,B12,B2,和铁的缺乏.
- 由于分布问题,许多国家存在严重的蛋白质短缺,尽管全球供应充足.
- 全球蛋白质供应目标增长1%可以解决2020年的不足问题,但如果没有消费变化,到2050年需要增加26%.
结论:
- 全球营养分发是解决国家一级粮食系统不平等问题的关键.
- 调整全球最低营养物质供应目标和改善分配对于可持续,健康的饮食至关重要.
- 将这些见解整合到粮食平衡模型中可以提高预测,并为全球粮食安全政策提供信息.
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