多支架池的基于的策略
Ryan S Brill1, Abraham J Wyner2, Ian J Barnett3
1Graduate Group in Applied Mathematics and Computational Science, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|August 29, 2024
概括
这项研究引入了预测事件组的多括号问题,为像3月疯狂括号这样的复杂投注池提供了可处理的基于的解决方案. 该方法具有可扩展性,性能良好.
科学领域:
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 可能性理论概率理论.
- 计算统计学 计算统计学
背景情况:
- 双边投注文学往往侧重于单一事件的概率或最佳的投注策略.
- 现有的方法对于具有更高维度的多事件投注池 (例如,3月疯狂括号) 变得难以处理.
- 预测事件组需要新的方法,超越传统的单一事件策略.
研究的目的:
- 解决"多括号问题":可追踪地生成多事件投注池的最佳预测元组.
- 开发一种可扩展和高效的方法,用于生成复杂事件组的多个预测.
- 探索基于的分布来产生这些预测.
主要方法:
- 制定了"多括号问题",用于预测事件组.
- 开发了一种以为基础的方法来生成 * n * 独立的预测元组.
- 通过使用具有最佳的分布,专注于更简单的设置.
主要成果:
- 提出的基于的方法是可处理和可扩展的.
- 该方法在生成预测的元组方面表现良好.
- 在更高维度的投注场景中成功解决了传统方法的局限性.
结论:
- 基于的方法为多支架问题提供了有效的解决方案.
- 这种方法提供了一种可扩展和计算可行的方法来处理复杂的投注池.
- 这些发现提升了预测多事件场景结果的策略.
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