瞬间幅度的预测性质 地球表面的最大幅度 震动
Alexey Lyubushin1, Eugeny Rodionov1
1Institute of Physics of the Earth RAS, Moscow 123242, Russia.
Entropy (Basel, Switzerland)
|August 29, 2024
概括
科学家分析了日本地球表面震动的GPS数据,以发现预后效应. 他们发现,地面运动信号的峰值往往在地震之前,这表明潜在的预测能力.
科学领域:
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
- 地震学 地震学
- 数据分析 数据分析
背景情况:
- 分析地球表面的震动数据对于理解地震活动至关重要.
- 全球定位系统 (GPS) 网络提供高分辨率的地面位移测量.
- 识别地震的先驱信号仍然是地震学中的一个重大挑战.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一种用于分析GPS测量地球表面震动的新方法.
- 调查来自日本的垂直移位时间序列数据中的预测效应.
- 使用先进的信号处理技术,探索地震事件的潜在前体.
主要方法:
- 利用了日本1047个GPS站的网络,分为15个集群.
- 应用黄实证模式分解 (EMD) 到主要组件时间序列.
- 使用希尔伯特变换计算即时幅度,并将噪声平均值用于稳定性.
- 分析了点处理强度,以将信号最大值与地震发生相关联 (M≥5.5,2012-2023).
主要成果:
- 分析显示,瞬间幅度最大的局部最大数序列经常在地震发生之前发生.
- 观察到信号最大值对随后地震时间的显著"影响".
- 发现反向影响,即地震影响信号最大值,较少发生.
结论:
- 拟议的方法有效地突出了地球表面震动数据中的预测效应.
- 来自GPS的地面运动模式可以作为地震事件的潜在早期指标.
- 对这些前体信号的进一步研究可以提高地震预测能力.
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