储水结构的安全风险评估:在中国的实证研究
Dingying Yang1, Jiamei Wu1, Zhenxu Guo2
1School of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China.
Scientific reports
|August 30, 2024
概括
一个新的框架和模型改善了水库大安全风险评估. 这种方法为管理人员提供了实际的解决方案,并提高了关键基础设施保护的行业标准.
科学领域:
- 土木工程 土木工程是指土木工程.
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 结构安全 结构安全
背景情况:
- 储水结构 (RDS) 对于公共安全和财产保护至关重要.
- 现有的评估RDS安全风险的方法缺乏系统的方法.
- 全球需要对大进行全面的风险评估框架.
研究的目的:
- 为评估水库水结构的安全风险提供一个整体的框架.
- 为RDS开发一个全面的评估指数系统.
- 为大安全构建一个强大的风险评估模型.
主要方法:
- 开发一个新的储水安全评估指数系统.
- 构建一个风险评估模型,整合云理论和Dempster-Shafer (D-S) 证据理论.
- 使用XY水库项目数据对拟议模型的实证验证.
主要成果:
- 该研究成功开发并验证了RDS安全风险评估的整体框架.
- 综合云和DS证据理论模型在经验分析中表现出有效性.
- 评估指数系统为识别和量化水风险提供了一个结构化的方法.
结论:
- 拟议的框架为水库水安全管理提供了理论见解和实际解决方案.
- 风险评估模型为基础设施管理人员提供了信息化的决策.
- 这项研究有助于推进大安全和风险评估的行业标准.
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