生来就是为了移动吗? 出生顺序和移民顺序
1Åbo Akademi University, Strandgatan 2, 65100, Vasa, Finland.
Social science research
|August 31, 2024
概括
晚出生的孩子比他们的大兄弟姐妹更容易移民. 这项关于芬兰兄弟姐妹的研究揭示了出生顺序和移民之间的积极关联,特别是在自由流动的国家.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 出生顺序是影响个体结果的重要人口因素.
- 家庭动态和资源分配可能会影响兄弟姐妹的行为.
- 了解移民模式对于人口和经济分析至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查出生顺序和移民之间的关系.
- 分析家庭结构如何影响国际流动.
主要方法:
- 利用芬兰登记处的1970年至2002年出生的个人数据.
- 采用家庭固定效应方法来控制未观察到的家庭特征.
- 观察到18岁后的第一次移民事件 (1987-2020).
主要成果:
- 移民风险随着出生顺序的增加而增加.
- 第二胎的移民风险比第一胎高5%,第三胎高7%,第四胎高11%.
- 这种模式在移民到自由流动国家的情况下是明显的,并且在不同性别之间一致.
结论:
- 出生顺序是移民的重要预测因素.
- 家庭动态,兄弟姐妹的个性变化和资源分配可能解释了观察到的模式.
- 这些发现强调了出生顺序对于理解个体移动模式的重要性.
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