预测农业和气象干旱使用霍尔特冬季常规二维长期短期存储器 (HW-Conv2DLSTM)
L Gowri1, K R Manjula1, S Pradeepa1
1School of Computing, SASTRA Deemed University, Thanjavur, India, 613401.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|September 2, 2024
概括
本研究介绍了一种使用卫星图像和霍尔特冬季常规二维长期短期记忆 (HW-Conv2DLSTM) 模型的新型干旱监测系统. 该系统准确预测气象和农业干旱,这对于保护作物产量和粮食安全至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 干旱导致严重的水资源短缺,影响社会经济条件和环境.
- 及时预测干旱对于减轻不利环境影响至关重要.
- 基于卫星的监测提供了优越的覆盖范围,与地面干旱检测站相比.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种使用农业地区卫星图像的新型干旱监测系统.
- 预测泰米尔纳德邦 (Tamil Nadu) 坦哈瓦尔地区 (2000-2022) 的气象和农业干旱情况.
- 通过有效的干旱预测,提高农业生产率.
主要方法:
- 利用卫星数据,包括CHIRPS降水指数,MODIS温度 (11A1) 和植被 (13Q1) 指数.
- 使用霍尔特冬季常规的二维长期短期存储器 (HW-Conv2DLSTM) 进行干旱预测.
- 提取了时间序列数据,使用霍尔特·温特参数进行了平滑,并使用Conv2D-LSTM计算了时空相关性.
主要成果:
- HW-Conv2DLSTM模型获得了0.97的高R平方值,表明干旱预测的准确性.
- 该系统有效地从卫星图像中提取趋势和季节性模式.
- 证明了预测气象和农业干旱的能力.
结论:
- 提出的HW-Conv2DLSTM系统是一个有前途的计算机辅助干旱预测策略.
- 有效的干旱预测对于维持农业生产率和确保粮食安全至关重要.
- 基于卫星的干旱监测系统可以显著帮助管理水资源和农业性.
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