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我们如何解决心胸外科医生短缺的问题:训练更多或工作更长时间
Matthew C Henn1, Nahush A Mokadam1, Robert E Merritt2
1Division of Cardiac Surgery, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio.
The Annals of thoracic surgery
|September 2, 2024
概括
预测的心胸外科医生短缺已经被避免,因为增加了培训和较低的退休率. 满足未来的需求需要填补可用的培训位,以确保最佳的外科医生供应.
科学领域:
- 心胸外科手术 心胸外科手术
- 外科手术劳动力分析
- 医学教育 医学教育
背景情况:
- 2000年代初的预测表明,心胸外科医生严重短缺.
- 这项研究旨在重新评估该专业的进展,并更新未来的劳动力需求.
研究的目的:
- 评估目前心胸外科医生的供应情况.
- 将过去的预测与当前的劳动力状况进行比较.
- 为了模拟心胸外科医生的未来供应和需求.
主要方法:
- 审查了心胸外科培训计划的演变.
- 分析了来自国家卫生劳动力分析中心的劳动力数据.
- 基于当前趋势和消耗率来建模未来的供需.
主要成果:
- 心胸外科的实习生人数显著增加,从230人 (2008-2009) 增加到519人 (2022-2023年).
- 练习心胸外科医生的数量从4000人增长到5200人 (2005-2021年),挑战了早期的短缺预测.
- 磨损率低于预期,未来的需求可以通过每年填补173个培训位来满足.
结论:
- 预计将在本世纪中叶出现的心胸外科医生短缺问题已经得到克服.
- 增加培训和减少外科医生的磨损已经稳定了劳动力.
- 持续监测供需是优化培训职位的关键.
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