中国东北谷物市场对气候变化的反应基于重力模型方法
Trinh Thi Viet Ha1, Wenqi Zhou1
1College of Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin, 150030, China.
Heliyon
|September 3, 2024
概括
未来的气候变化,特别是最高气温的上升,将对中国产生重大影响.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 粮食安全 粮食安全
背景情况:
- 气候变化对区域和全球农业生产构成重大威胁.
- 之前的研究强调了气候变化对中国特定地区的重大影响.
- 了解未来对谷物市场的气候影响对于维持粮食安全至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查预计气候变化对中国东北谷物市场的影响.
- 评估气候变量对主要谷物的国内消费和出口的影响.
- 为在气候变化中保障粮食安全提供见解.
主要方法:
- 利用区域气候模型 (RCM) 模拟 (4.5和8.5场景).
- 应用了一个重力模型与历史 (2004-2017) 和未来 (2020-2076) 数据.
- 分析了气候因素与谷物市场动态之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 最大温度成为影响谷物市场的关键气候因素.
- 降水显示出一种积极的关系,而温度与谷物消费和出口有着显著的负面关系.
- RCM模拟表明最高温度对国内消费和出口水平的负贡献.
结论:
- 气候变化,特别是最高气温的增加,对中国东北谷物市场产生了负面影响.
- 这些发现强调了谷物市场对气候变化的脆弱性.
- 这项研究提高了对气候变化对农业市场影响的理解,为明智的政策决策提供了帮助.
更多相关视频
06:28Author Spotlight: Unraveling Plant Responses to Abiotic Stresses Using the PlantScreen Robotic Platform
Published on: June 7, 2024
1.7K
10:28Investigating the Relationship between Sea Surface Chlorophyll and Major Features of the South China Sea with Satellite Information
Published on: June 13, 2020
5.8K
相关概念视频
What is Climate?
18.4K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
18.4K
Global Climate Change
24.3K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.3K
Responses to Drought and Flooding
10.6K
Water plays a significant role in the life cycle of plants. However, insufficient or excess of water can be detrimental and pose a serious threat to plants.
10.6K
Responses to Heat and Cold Stress
13.4K
Every organism has an optimum temperature range within which healthy growth and physiological functioning can occur. At the ends of this range, there will be a minimum and maximum temperature that interrupt biological processes.
13.4K
Adaptations that Reduce Water Loss
25.2K
Though evaporation from plant leaves drives transpiration, it also results in loss of water. Because water is critical for photosynthetic reactions and other cellular processes, evolutionary pressures on plants in different environments have driven the acquisition of adaptations that reduce water loss.
25.2K
Influence of Earth's Curvature and Atmospheric Refraction on Leveling
71
During leveling, the Earth's curvature and atmospheric refraction introduce deviations in the line of sight from a true horizontal reference. When the line of sight is leveled, it remains perpendicular to the plumb line only at a single point. Beyond this, it deviates due to the Earth’s curvature, represented by the correction C. For a sight distance D, the deviation can be derived using the relationship:This relationship shows that the deviation increases quadratically with distance.
71
