探索东热带大西洋的海平面变化:一项为期三十年 (1993-2022) 的研究
Franck Eitel Kemgang Ghomsi1,2,3, Bayoumy Mohamed4,5, Roshin P Raj6
1Deutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut, Technische Universität München (DGFI-TUM), Munich, Germany. franckeitel@gmail.com.
Scientific reports
|September 3, 2024
概括
东热带大西洋 (ETAO) 的海平面上升为每年3.52毫米,与全球平均水平相匹配. 海洋质量,而不是硬质变化,推动了长期趋势,迫切需要沿海社区采取适应战略.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
背景情况:
- 海平面上升 (SLR) 威胁着全球沿海人口,非洲有超过6000万人生活在海平面10米以下.
- 东热带大西洋 (ETAO) 特别容易受到SLR影响.
研究的目的:
- 从1993年到2022年,分析海平面异常 (SLA) 和其组成部分在ETAO的时空趋势.
- 确定该地区SLR的驱动因素及其与气候因素的相关性.
主要方法:
- 对SLA趋势 (1993-2022) 的卫星高度测量数据的分析.
- 使用ARMORD3D数据集进行固体成分分析 (热固体,固体).
- 整合了GRACE和GRACE-FO任务数据,用于海洋质量变化 (2002-2022年).
主要成果:
- ETAO的SLA趋势为3.52±0.47毫米/年,与全球平均水平一致.
- 海洋质量变化主导着长期的SLR趋势,而硬度变化则影响年际变化.
- 在赤道非洲海岸和几内亚湾 (GoG) 沿线观察到变暖,安哥拉附近出现变暖.
结论:
- 海洋质量,而不是固态膨胀,是ETAO地区长期海平面上升的主要驱动因素.
- 区域气候模式显著影响海平面变化.
- 对于脆弱的ETAO沿海社区来说,紧急的缓解和适应战略至关重要.
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