持续的两极分化:围绕美国大选的政治敌意的意想不到的持久性
Neil Fasching1, Shanto Iyengar2, Yphtach Lelkes1
1Annenberg School for Communication, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104, USA.
Science advances
|September 4, 2024
概括
政治敌意是持久和一致的,即使在选举之后. 增加竞选曝光率导致持久的两极分化,无论投票结果如何. 这一发现对理解和改善党派分歧产生了影响.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 美国政治 美国政治
背景情况:
- 现有的研究表明,选举后政治紧张局势会下降.
- 然而,选举周期对党派敌意的长期影响仍然不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 调查2022年美国大选期间和之后的政治敌意和两极分化的持久性.
- 检查竞选曝光与持续的党派情绪之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 利用了包括66000个横截面和小组面试在内的大型数据集.
- 分析数据以追踪选举期间和选举后的政治敌意和两极分化变化.
主要成果:
- 发现政治敌意是持久和一致的,不会回到选举前的水平.
- 展示了更大的竞选曝光的个体表现出增加和持久的两极分化.
- 观察到,在选举后,赢得和失败的党派人士的两极分化水平都相似.
结论:
- 该研究得出的结论是,党派两极分化是一个持久的现象,挑战了以前关于选举后降级的假设.
- 调查结果强调了竞选曝光对政治态度的持久影响.
- 结果对理解党派分歧的范围和制定减少两极分化策略具有重要意义.
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