在中国,随着脱碳的随之而来的大量气减排抑制了陆地碳汇
Fang Shang1,2, Mingxu Liu1,3, Yu Song4
1State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, 100871, Beijing, China.
Nature communications
|September 4, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
背景情况:
- 中国的目标是到2060年实现碳中和,符合"巴黎协定".
- 脱碳努力将大大减少气排放,但生态系统的影响尚不确定.
- 同时改善空气质量是一个关键目标.
研究的目的:
- 调查排放控制场景,包括碳中和目标,对中国大气中沉积的影响.
- 量化减少沉积对陆地净生态系统生产的影响.
- 确定管理与碳中和目标之间的潜在权衡.
主要方法:
- 利用了两个大气化学模型和两个基于过程的陆地生态系统模型.
- 用全国范围的测量进行受限模型模拟.
- 分析了两个不同的排放控制场景,其中一个侧重于碳中和.
主要成果:
- 预计中国陆地大气沉积量将减少44-57%.
- 观察到陆地净生态系统生产减少了11-20%,根据模型和场景而异.
- 强调减少沉积可以削弱天然的碳汇.
结论:
- 与脱碳化相关的气排放减少可能会阻碍自然的碳捕获.
- 这种意想不到的后果可能会阻碍中国实现碳中和目标的进展.
- 迫切需要考虑管理策略,以平衡气候和环境目标.
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