工业聚合对能源消费结构低碳转型过程的影响:空间和非线性视角
1Department of Business, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
PloS one
|September 6, 2024
概括
工业聚合最初有助于低碳转型 (Lct),但随着增长,可以阻碍它. 这种影响在区域上有所不同,在中国观察到的影响更为强烈.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 区域科学 地区科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
背景情况:
- 中国的能源消费结构正在经历低碳转型 (Lct).
- 工业聚集是经济和环境变化的关键驱动力.
- 了解工业聚集地与信息化之间的复杂关系对于可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查工业聚合对中国能源消费结构低碳转型产生的非线性和空间溢出效应.
- 分析工业聚合对不同地区Lct的影响.
主要方法:
- 来自中国30个省份 (2003-2020年) 的小组数据.
- 空间向量角度方法.
- 空间德宾模型.
主要成果:
- 工业聚合体对Lct表现出反转的U形效应,随着聚合体的增加,从正向负转变.
- 首先观察到积极的空间溢出效应 (聚合效益),其次是进一步扩张的负面溢出效应 (拥堵).
- 工业聚集在中国东部显著促进了Lct,但其影响在中国西部和中部地区并不显著.
结论:
- 工业聚合对Lct的影响是复杂的和非线性的.
- 工业聚集地对Lct的空间溢出效应是显著的,但可能会变得有害.
- 工业聚集地对Lct的影响的区域异质性需要量身定制的政策干预.
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