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unmconf:贝叶斯回归的R包,使用未测量的混因子
Ryan Hebdon1, James Stamey2, David Kahle2
1Department of Statistical Science, Baylor University, Waco, TX, USA. Ryan_Hebdon@baylor.edu.
BMC medical research methodology
|September 7, 2024
概括
不测量的混偏见研究结果. 新的R包unmconf通过贝叶斯模型提供概率灵敏度分析,改进了观测研究中的参数估计和不确定性评估.
科学领域:
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 观察性研究 观察性研究
- 统计软件开发 统计软件开发
背景情况:
- 没有测量的混可以显著偏差参数估计,使不确定性评估无效,并导致观察性研究中的错误结论.
- 灵敏度分析对于评估未测量的混至关重要,但对概率方法缺乏可访问的软件.
- 现有的R包主要侧重于确定性灵敏度分析,为概率方法留下了一个空白.
研究的目的:
- 介绍R包"unconfused",这是第一个用于使用贝叶斯方法对未测量的混进行概率灵敏度分析的包.
- 为贝叶斯模型在未测量混因子的情况下提供一个用户友好的工具,简化复杂的计算.
- 通过模拟研究来评估"不一致"包的性能和适用性.
主要方法:
- 为贝叶斯的未测量混模型开发和实施"不混R"包.
- 该包支持各种响应类型 (正常,二进制,波桑,玛) 并容纳一个或两个未测量的混器.
- 进行了模拟研究,以评估包在不同分布家族和验证数据级别的性能.
主要成果:
- 这个"不相符"的包可以对未测量的混进行概率灵敏度分析.
- 使用 ' `unmconf` 来建模未测量的混因素,导致具有近名义覆盖概率的可信间隔.
- 该套件在各种模拟场景中显示出偏差的减少,包括不同的响应和混分布.
结论:
- 该"不相干"包提供了一种有价值和易于使用的工具,用于解决观察性研究中未测量的混问题.
- 使用此包可以提高参数估计的准确性和不确定性评估的可靠性.
- 这些发现支持在不测量的混是一个问题时,使用"不混"来进行可靠的统计推断.
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