中国的碳库兹内茨曲线:在县级城市的夜间照明分析
Xiaoqi Zheng1, Jiaying Wang1, Xiangbo Xu2
1School of Economics, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, No.9, Wenyuan Road, Nanjing, 210023, China.
Heliyon
|September 10, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 城市研究 城市研究
背景情况:
- 经济增长和碳排放是中国可持续发展的关键因素.
- 了解它们之间的关系是制定有效的气候政策的关键.
- 之前的研究已经探索了这种联系,但需要在不同的城市尺度上进行细致的观察.
研究的目的:
- 调查中国县级城市经济增长与碳排放之间的关系.
- 确定碳排放和经济增长的反转U形曲线的转折点.
- 为实现碳排放峰值提供政策建议.
主要方法:
- 从2003年至2018年间,利用了来自中国221个县级城市的数据.
- 人均就业人数夜间灯光亮度作为经济活动的代理.
- 分析了碳排放与经济增长之间的反向U形关系.
主要成果:
- 证实了人均夜间灯光亮度和碳排放之间存在显著的反转U形关系.
- 这一关系的转折点被确定为人均GDP为139.8万元.
- 中国在2030年之前达到碳排放峰值,需要人均GDP增长率至少为6.6%.
结论:
- 高质量的经济增长和经济模式的转型对于城市达到碳排放峰值至关重要.
- 低碳试点政策应该扩大到更多的城市.
- 实施峰值碳战略应优先考虑东部城市,其次是西部城市.
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