对二氧化碳排放及其影响的趋势分析:印度和中国之间的比较研究
Kalpana Polisetty1, Christophe Chesneau2
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, School of Applied Sciences and Humanities, Vignan's Foundation for Science, Technology and Research, Vadlamudi, Guntur, 522213, India.
Environmental monitoring and assessment
|September 10, 2024
概括
这项研究比较了印度和中国在1960-2019年间的二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放趋势. 中国的二氧化碳排放量明显高于印度,特别是在1989年至1990年之后.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 数据分析 数据分析
背景情况:
- 印度和中国是世界上最大的二氧化碳 (CO2) 排放国.
- 了解排放趋势对于全球气候政策至关重要.
- 对关键来源的1960-2019年历史CO2排放数据进行了分析.
研究的目的:
- 进行印度和中国二氧化碳排放的比较趋势分析.
- 识别煤炭,石油,水泥和天然气排放的突然变化和单调趋势.
- 量化和比较两国之间的二氧化碳排放变化率.
主要方法:
- 采用了非参数趋势分析方法,包括佩蒂特测试,曼-肯达尔 (MK) 测试和森的斜率估计器.
- 创新趋势分析 (ITA) 用于检测和可视化各种趋势类型.
- 数据涵盖了1960年至2019年的煤炭,石油,水泥和天然气的年度二氧化碳排放量.
主要成果:
- 佩蒂特的测试确定了印度在1989年所有来源的二氧化碳排放量急剧变化.
- 中国在1989年 (煤炭,天然气) 和1990年 (石油,水泥) 经历了急剧变化.
- 所有分析的二氧化碳排放源都呈现出单调的增长趋势,中国的变化率在变化点后明显更高.
结论:
- 印度和中国都显示出不断增加的二氧化碳排放趋势,而中国的排放量要高得多.
- 政策建议包括促进可再生能源和实施森林砍伐控制战略.
- 这些发现为未来关于二氧化碳排放动态的研究提供了基础.
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