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使用定量方法,多变量分析和机器学习模型全面评估和预测地下水质量和风险指数:一项探索性研究
Mohamed Gad1, Aissam Gaagai2, Asmaa A Agrama3
1Hydrogeology, Evaluation of Natural Resources Department, Environmental Studies and Research Institute, University of Sadat City, Minufiya, 32897, Egypt.
Heliyon
|September 12, 2024
概括
埃尔-梅努菲亚的地下水质量显示和的含量较高,构成风险. 循环神经网络 (RNN) 准确预测了水质指数和健康风险,有助于有效管理.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水文地质学 水文地质学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 有效地评估地下水质量对于资源管理至关重要.
- 地下水污染对健康构成重大风险,特别是在发展中国家.
研究的目的:
- 通过多个指数和先进的分析技术,评估El-Menoufia的地下水质量.
- 评估与地下水污染相关的健康风险.
- 开发和验证水质和健康指标的预测模型.
主要方法:
- 48个地下水井的物理化学参数分析.
- 饮用水质量指数 (DWQI),重金属污染指数 (HPI) 和其他污染指数的应用.
- 多变量分析,循环神经网络 (RNN) 和地理信息系统集成.
- 危险系数 (HQ) 和总危险指标 (HI) 用于健康风险评估.
主要成果:
- 埃尔-梅努菲亚的地下水表现出各种水类受地质因素影响.
- 检测到高 (Mn) 和 (Pb),超过饮用水标准.
- 虽然大多数样本在DWQI上是"好的",但中心地区显示出严重的污染 (HPI,MI,Cd).
- 在中部地区的儿童和成人中发现了高的非致癌健康风险.
- 在训练和测试集上,RNN模型准确地预测了高R2值的DWQI和HPI.
结论:
- 综合评估显示El-Menoufia的局部地下水污染和相关的健康风险.
- RNN为预测水质和健康风险提供了强大的工具,支持知情管理.
- 在RNN中选择特征对于提高水文地质研究中的模型准确性和可解释性至关重要.
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