基于GLOBOCAN 2020 年龄标准化世界估计的癌症发病率和死亡率参数的建模
Joseph Acquah1, Senyefia Bosson-Amedenu2, Francis Eyiah-Bediako3
1Mathematical Sciences Department, University of Mines and Technology, Tarkwa, Ghana.
Heliyon
|September 12, 2024
概括
一个新的模型显示,女性癌症的发病率随着男性癌症病例的增加而上升,这表明女性癌症的限制值. 这项研究突出了全球卫生战略的性别特异性癌症动态.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 癌症发病率和死亡率表现出由各种因素影响的复杂模式.
- 了解性别特异性癌症趋势对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种经验模型,分析与男性癌症数据相关的女性癌症发病率和死亡率.
- 为了确定癌症风险和转折点的区域差异.
- 调查影响癌症累积风险的因素,超出人口比例.
主要方法:
- 利用来自GLOBOCAN世界估计的预期寿命数据.
- 采用累积风险和指数相关技术.
- 模拟的癌症发病率和每个性别的死亡率与全球总数相比.
主要成果:
- 女性癌症发病率随着男性癌症病例的增加而增加,可能接近一个限制值.
- 确定了东南地区癌症发病风险的拐点.
- 癌症死亡风险显示非线性依赖性,在男性中更加突出,表明了超出人口比例的因素.
结论:
- 开发的模型提供了关于性别特异性癌症动态和区域差异的见解.
- 这些发现支持有针对性的癌症预防和治疗策略的需要.
- 结果可以为全球公共卫生政策和为癌症控制分配资源提供信息.
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