探索影响中国地区人口死亡模式的地理环境因素
1School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
概括
地理因素显著影响中国的死亡率模式,特别是在40岁以后. 高度和温度是关键的驱动因素,尽管社会经济因素具有更大的整体影响.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 中国地区人口死亡率模式显示出显著的地理差异.
- 了解环境因素对这些模式的影响对于公共卫生至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究地理环境因素对中国地区人口死亡率模式的影响和潜在机制.
- 确定不同年龄组的关键环境驱动因素及其贡献.
主要方法:
- 利用来自中国第七次人口普查的数据,查看31个省级行政区的死亡率模式.
- 使用功能回归分析来确定地理环境因素和死亡率模式之间的关系.
主要成果:
- 地理环境因素对死亡率产生阶段性影响,40岁以后的影响力增加.
- 关键因素包括平均海拔高度,极低温天,PM2.5,高温天和SO2度,因年龄组而异.
- 性别和城乡差异的影响比地理因素更大.
结论:
- 死亡率模式在40岁之前受到环境因素的影响很小,在老年人群中影响显著增加.
- 高度和温度等特定的环境因素是中年和老年人群死亡率的关键驱动因素.
- 虽然环境因素起着作用,但社会经济决定因素,如性别和城乡地位在塑造区域死亡率模式方面更为占主导地位.
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