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基于压力状态响应建模的水资源承载能力研究:中国云南中部城市聚集地的实证研究
Jing Zhang1, Wenchuang Guan2,3, Guangping Wu2
1School of Business Administration, Liaoning Technical University, Huludao, China.
PloS one
|September 12, 2024
概括
云南中部的水资源承载能力在2008-2012年间呈现下降趋势,随后出现波动性的增加. 对水资源的压力是区域发展的主要障碍.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 区域规划 地区规划
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 水资源承载能力 (WRCC) 对可持续发展和区域竞争力至关重要.
- 对WRCC的定量评估对于了解区域发展潜力至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估和比较2008年至2020年云南中部城市聚集区 (UACY) 的WRCC.
- 确定影响该地区WRCC的障碍因素.
主要方法:
- 使用压力状态响应 (PSR) 模型构建了一个WRCC评估指数系统.
- 采用权方法进行索引权重.
- 利用集对分析和障碍诊断模型进行评估.
主要成果:
- 在UACY中的WRCC从2008-2012年表现出下降趋势,然后从2013-2020年表现出波动的上升趋势.
- 昆明的WRCC总体上很差,而洪河和玉溪的储水和保护能力很强.
- 压力子系统被确定为所有城市的主要约束因素,尽管具体障碍因素有所不同.
结论:
- 在UACY中的WRCC显示出明显的时间和空间变化.
- 了解和解决与压力相关的因素是改善区域水资源管理和可持续发展的关键.
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