基于多重线性回归模型的聚亚麻价格预测
Wenyi Qiu1, Qingjun Mao2, Chen Liu3
1School of Global Education & Development, University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences-University of Stirling, Beijing, China.
PloS one
|September 12, 2024
概括
本研究分析了聚线价格指标和风险对冲. 它以创新的方式将生产线数据集成到预测模型中,以在数字时代获得更准确的市场洞察力.
科学领域:
- 织工业 经济学 经济学
- 供应链管理 供应链管理
- 量化金融 量化金融
背景情况:
- 中国的聚织品行业在经济上具有重要意义.
- 聚线是该行业中至关重要的原材料.
- 数字化转型正在重塑工业运营.
研究的目的:
- 确定聚线的关键价格指标.
- 探索有效的风险对冲机制.
- 通过纳入数字化转型趋势来提高价格预测的准确性.
主要方法:
- 采用了多个线性回归模型.
- 使用霍尔特-温特斯时间序列分析.
- 上游和下游生产线启动率被创新地集成到预测模型中.
主要成果:
- 该研究确定了聚线的重要价格指标.
- 整合生产线数据提高了价格预测的准确性.
- 开发的模型提供了对供需动态的更全面的了解.
结论:
- 定量分析为企业提供了宝贵的见解.
- 改进的价格预测有助于更好的市场动态导航.
- 该方法支持织行业的数字化转型.
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