在海湾合作委员会 (GCC) 国家的当前和未来的癌症负担
Saleh A Alessy1,2,3, Saleh A Alqahtani4,5, Jerome Vignat6
1Public Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Saudi Electronic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Cancer medicine
|September 16, 2024
概括
预计到2040年,海湾合作委员会 (GCC) 国家的癌症病例将翻一番,这凸显了加强癌症预防和控制战略的迫切需要. 癌症负担的大幅增加需要积极的医疗保健规划和资源配置.
科学领域:
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 癌症在海湾合作委员会 (GCC) 各国构成了重大公共卫生挑战,导致大量的发病率和死亡率.
- 了解当前和未来的癌症趋势对于有效的公共卫生干预和该地区的政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计海湾合作委员会国家2020年癌症发病率和死亡率.
- 预测到2040年,海湾合作委员会地区的未来癌症负担.
- 为海湾合作委员会国家的癌症控制政策和医疗保健规划提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用国际癌症研究机构的GLOBOCAN数据库进行癌症统计.
- 提取了关于2020年新增癌症病例,癌症死亡率和年龄标准化率的数据.
- 分析趋势以预测未来的癌症发病率和死亡率.
主要成果:
- 2020年,据估计,在海湾合作委员会国家发生了42,475例新的癌症病例和19,895例死亡.
- 女性乳腺癌,结肠直肠癌和甲状腺癌是最常见的,占发病率的近40%.
- 预计到2040年,癌症负担将增加116%至270%,达到大约104,000例.
结论:
- 预计癌症发病率和死亡率的急剧增加需要立即关注.
- 要求海湾合作委员会国家的医疗保健系统制定战略性劳动力和财务规划.
- 强调需要加强国家癌症预防和控制倡议.
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