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大西洋南部翻转循环减弱对北极放大效应的影响
Yu-Chi Lee1, Wei Liu1, Alexey V Fedorov2
1Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA 92521.
概括
削弱的大西洋南部翻转循环 (AMOC) 显著减少北极放大,每年降低2°C的变暖. 这主要是由于减少了海冰的损失和增加了海洋的热量吸收,减轻了北极的变暖.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 北极放大描述了与全球平均水平相比,北极地区的不成比例的变暖.
- 大西洋南部翻转循环 (AMOC) 显著影响北极气候动态.
- 了解AMOC的作用对于预测未来的北极气候变化至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化AMOC变化对21世纪整个北极扩张的影响.
- 为了比较气候模型模拟与减弱相对于稳定的AMOC状态.
- 确定驱动AMOC诱导的北极变暖变化的反机制.
主要方法:
- 在相同的气候变化场景下利用了两个气候模型模拟套件.
- 与具有稳定AMOC的模拟器相比,具有减弱AMOC的模拟器.
- 分析了表面白度,海洋吸收热量,失效率和云反的变化.
主要成果:
- 减弱的AMOC在本世纪末将北极年平均气温升高降低2°C.
- 减少海冰损失 (表面白色反) 和增加海洋吸收热量是主要的驱动因素.
- 减弱的AMOC还会影响失效率和短波云反,导致局部和区域冷却.
结论:
- AMOC状态是调节北极放大的一个关键因素.
- 反机制,特别是表面白度和海洋吸收热量,是AMOC影响的关键.
- 未来的北极气候预测必须考虑AMOC强度的潜在变化.
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