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气候变化对房地产估值的影响有什么证据? 一个系统的地图协议
Fedra Vanhuyse1, Tommaso Piseddu2,3, Åsa Moberg2
1Stockholm Environment Institute Linnégatan 87D, Box 24218, 104 51, Stockholm, Sweden. fedra.vanhuyse@sei.org.
Environmental evidence
|September 18, 2024
概括
气候变化给房地产资产带来了物理和过渡性风险. 这张系统地图分析了这些气候风险如何影响房地产经济价值,并确定了研究缺口.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 房地产经济学 房地产经济学
- 气候风险评估 气候风险评估
背景情况:
- 由于气候变化,自然灾害的频率和规模越来越大,使资产暴露在物理气候风险中.
- 过渡到更绿色的经济引入过渡性气候风险,包括声誉,市场,技术和政策方面的挑战.
- 物理风险和过渡性气候风险对房地产资产经济价值的影响尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 系统地绘制有关气候风险如何影响房地产资产经济价值的现有证据.
- 确定研究缺口,并为未来的研究提供建议.
- 提供对量化气候风险对房地产价值影响的方法的见解.
主要方法:
- 从主要科学数据库中对同行评审的出版物和政策文件进行系统的映射.
- 使用50个高度相关文章的基准进行全面性测试.
- 严格的选过程涉及多个审查员,包括一致性检查 (kappa评分>=0.6) 和质量保证.
- 使用商定的编码策略进行元数据提取,从而生成证据和研究差距的热图.
主要成果:
- 一张热图,说明了气候风险对房地产价值的影响有实质证据的地区.
- 确定了解气候风险对房地产的经济影响的关键研究缺口.
- 了解量化气候风险对房地产价值影响的方法.
结论:
- 该研究提供了关于气候风险和房地产经济价值的当前研究的全面概述.
- 强调需要进一步研究,以解决发现的差距.
- 提供了评估气候风险对房地产行业财务影响的方法框架.
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