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有哪些方法可以评估英国相关的自然洪水管理措施的有效性? 一个系统的地图地图
Angela Connelly1, Andrew Snow2, Jeremy Carter2
1Manchester School of Architecture, Manchester Metropolitan University, Manchestear, UK. angela.connelly@mmu.ac.uk.
Environmental evidence
|September 18, 2024
概括
自然洪水管理 (NFM) 提供了多种好处,但研究很少评估其多种有效性形式或系统地考虑气候变化影响. 需要更多的研究来了解NFM在未来气候场景中的表现.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
背景情况:
- 自然洪水管理 (NFM) 对整体洪水风险管理 (FRM) 至关重要.
- 现有的研究评估了NFM的有效性,但缺乏对其各种形式的全面了解.
- 将气候变化考虑纳入NFM有效性评估仍然是一个关键的研究缺口.
研究的目的:
- 系统地绘制英国自然洪水管理 (NFM) 研究中评估的有效性形式.
- 确定这些研究在多大程度上涉及气候变化和未来洪水风险.
- 识别在理解NFM有效性的证据差距,特别是在气候变化适应方面.
主要方法:
- 进行了系统地图,搜索了13个文献数据库,谷歌学者和21个组织网站.
- 文章根据标题,摘要和全文根据定义的资格标准进行了选.
- 使用环境影响评估 (EIA) 文献中的方法编码了有效性表格;气候变化考虑也被分析.
主要成果:
- 包括216项符合条件的研究,其中大多数研究至少考虑一种形式的NFM有效性.
- 很少有研究评估了多种形式的有效性,只有24.1%的研究系统地纳入了气候变化预测.
- 虽然75%的研究提到了气候变化,但许多研究缺乏在未来气候条件下对NFM表现的强有力的分析.
结论:
- 自然洪水管理 (NFM) 的有效性各不相同,但存在证据差距,特别是对于交易性和规范性有效性形式.
- 跨学科研究更有可能考虑多个有效性维度.
- 政策制定者必须了解在未来气候变化下对NFM绩效的有限理解,以确保有效的洪水风险管理.
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