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降低安第斯山脉的降水和温度:应用方法和性能 - - 一个系统审查协议
Santiago Núñez Mejía1,2, Carina Villegas-Lituma3, Patricio Crespo4
1TRACES & Faculty of Science and Technology, Universidad del Azuay, Av. 24 de Mayo 7-77 y Hernán Malo, Cuenca, Ecuador. sanxaviernume@gmail.com.
Environmental evidence
|September 18, 2024
概括
气候变化影响安第斯山脉,需要本地化的气候模型. 本综述分析了温度和降水降级方法,确定了该地区有效的技术.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 气象学 天气学
背景情况:
- 全球变暖和气候变化构成了重大威胁,改变了水资源的供应,增加了极端天气事件.
- 南美洲,特别是安第斯山脉,由于资源不平等,非常脆弱.
- 一般循环模型 (GCMs) 缺乏在山区准确地表示当地气候的空间分辨率.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查和识别安第斯地区温度和降水降级方法的性能.
- 检测影响不同缩放方法性能的因素.
- 突出有效的方法,并确定区域气候降级方面的知识差距.
主要方法:
- 对安第斯山脉气候减缓应用的已出版和灰色文献进行系统审查.
- 按国家,目的,变量和类型编码和映射下调方法.
- 对具有可比性绩效指标的研究进行元分析,并补充叙述合成,地图和热图.
主要成果:
- 将分析各种降级方法的性能指标.
- 影响方法性能的因素将通过元分析来确定.
- 批判性评估将对证据的有效性进行分类.
结论:
- 将确定有效的降低安第斯山脉温度和降水量的方法.
- 将突出区域气候缩小规模研究中的知识差距.
- 将为未来的研究和下调技术的应用提供建议.
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