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气候变化和旅游需求:极端高温的风险?
Dingyi Chang1,2, Naipeng Bu3, Ning Zhang1,4,5
1Institute of Blue and Green Development, Shandong University, Weihai, 264209, China.
Heliyon
|September 19, 2024
概括
极端炎热对旅游业产生负面影响,夏季炎热减少游客,而秋季炎热增加游客. 这项研究量化了中国各地的温度与旅游的关系.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 旅游学研究 旅游学研究
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 极端温度对全球旅游体验构成重大挑战.
- 了解温度对旅游业的确切影响对于目的地管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 进行中国首次全国范围的温度-旅游响应函数估计.
- 根据目的地特征,分析温度对旅游业的异质影响.
主要方法:
- 利用一个细粒度面板数据集,对280个中国城市 (2005-2019) 的旅游和每日气象数据进行匹配.
- 采用温度容器方法建立非线性温度与旅游关系.
- 进行了考虑经济发展,人口,基础设施和旅游资源的异质性分析.
主要成果:
- 温度和旅游业之间存在非线性关系.
- 夏季气温上升与旅游游客抵达和收入的减少有关.
- 秋季气温的上升与旅游游客的到来和收入的增加有关.
结论:
- 温度动态显著影响中国的旅游模式.
- 调查结果为旅游业的目的地管理和气候变化适应战略提供了关键的见解.
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