违反过渡性优惠:补偿和非补偿账户的比较
Rob Ranyard1, Henry Montgomery2, Ashley Luckman3
1Centre for Decision Research, University of Leeds.
Psychological review
|September 19, 2024
概括
这项研究比较了两种决策模型,发现预测弱随机过渡率 (WST) 和三角不等式 (TI) 违反的模型最能解释参与者的选择. 证据强烈支持对许多个体而言,非过渡性模型优于过渡性模型.
科学领域:
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 过渡偏好违规行为是通过词典学半序和添加差异模型来解释的.
- 这些模型之间缺乏直接比较.
- 现有的模型不能完全捕捉不过渡的偏好细微差别.
研究的目的:
- 开发和比较一个简化的添加差异 (SAD) 模型与一个随机差异值模型.
- 分析符合过渡偏好遵守或违反 (WST,TI) 的参数值.
- 用现有和复制的数据来评估模型合适性和贝叶斯支持.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种简化添加差异 (SAD) 模型,并进行图形分析.
- 开发了一个随机差异值模型,包括一个随机词典学半序模型.
- 将频率学和贝叶斯因子分析应用于特弗斯基 (1969) 的数据和复制.
主要成果:
- 频率主义和贝叶斯分析趋同,对三分之二的参与者来说支持非过渡性模型.
- 允许违反WST/TI的SAD模型显示出强有力的贝叶斯支持.
- 大约20%的参与者更喜欢SAD模型,而不是随机差异值模型.
结论:
- 非过渡性决策模型,特别是SAD模型,为大多数参与者提供了更好的适应性.
- 贝叶斯因子分析表明,对许多个体的过渡模型有强有力的证据.
- 该研究强调了决策过程中不过渡性偏好的普遍性.
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