在过去的千年中,南美季风的加剧是由太平洋和大西洋联合强迫驱动的
Zhiqiang Lyu1, Mathias Vuille1, Hugues Goosse2
1Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, University at Albany, State University of New York, Albany, NY, USA.
Science advances
|September 20, 2024
概括
南美夏季季风 (SASM) 从中世纪的气候异常加剧到小冰河时代. 这项研究使用古气候数据同化重建了SASM变异性,改善了气候模型预测.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 气候动力学 气候动力学
- 南美气候 南美气候
背景情况:
- 南美夏季季风 (SASM) 显著影响南美热带地区的气候.
- 了解SASM的长期变异性,特别是在中世纪气候异常 (MCA) 和小冰河时代 (LIA) 中,一直很困难,数据相互矛盾.
- 之前使用气候模型和氧同位素的研究对SASM变化产生了不一致的结果.
研究的目的:
- 以高分辨率重建过去一千年 (LM) 热带南美洲的水气候.
- 解决之前关于MCA-LIA过渡期间SASM变异性的调查结果中的差异.
- 为该地区提供动态连贯和完整的古气候记录.
主要方法:
- 采用古气候数据同化 (DA) 方法.
- 综合气候模型输出与氧气同位素 (δ18O) 观测.
- 开发了在5年分辨率下为LM进行 δ18 O 支持的水气候重建.
主要成果:
- 为南美洲热带地区在LM上进行了全面的南方夏季水气候重建.
- 根据独立的水气候和 δ18O记录验证了重建.
- 在MCA-LIA过渡时期,揭示了SASM在百年规模上的强化.
结论:
- SASM的强化与大西洋热带融合区向南转移有关,并加强了太平洋步行者循环 (PWC).
- 在气候模型中准确地表示PWC对于预测未来SASM变化至关重要.
- 该研究提供了一个可靠的古气候数据集,以了解SASM动态.
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