风和雨与潮相结合,导致频繁和意想不到的沿海洪水
Thomas Thelen1, Katherine Anarde1, Joel Casey Dietrich1
1Department of Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, North Carolina State University, 915 Partners Way, Raleigh, NC, USA.
Water research
|September 20, 2024
概括
由于海平面上升,沿海洪水正在恶化,三分之一的非风暴洪水是意外发生的. 潮,风和雨造成的复合洪水使水位大幅上升,对卡罗莱纳海等社区构成挑战.
科学领域:
- 沿海地质形态学和水文学.
- 气候变化对沿海地区的影响
- 城市水资源管理
背景情况:
- 沿海社区因海平面上升和高潮而面临越来越多的洪水.
- 由潮和非潮因素驱动的复合洪水是鲜为人知的.
- 现有的洪水缓解基础设施往往被结合的洪水驱动因素所压倒.
研究的目的:
- 调查卡罗莱纳海北卡罗来纳州复合洪水的频率和驱动因素.
- 量化非潮因素 (风,雨) 对沿海洪水的影响.
- 评估当前洪水监测门的局限性.
主要方法:
- 实地测量了一年多的道路和风暴下水道洪水.
- 数字建模合海洋规模 (ADCIRC) 和社区规模 (3Di) 的模型.
- 分析由潮,风和降雨驱动的复合洪水事件.
主要成果:
- 在43次测量的非风暴洪水中,有三分之一超过了该社区的潮洪水值.
- 综合性洪水,包括风和雨,水位上升高达0.4米,相比只有潮模拟.
- 持续的风力加剧了高潮洪水,在没有极端潮的日子里造成洪水.
结论:
- 潮门本身不足以监测沿海洪水风险.
- 风和雨等非潮因素是关键的,经常被低估的,沿海洪水的驱动因素.
- 准确的预测和适应策略必须考虑到低沿海地区加剧的洪水驱动因素.
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