干旱的加剧使得萨赫勒的干旱地区不再适合种植
Nadir Ahmed Elagib1, Marwan M A Ali1, Ammar Ahmed Musa2
1Institute of Geography, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
The Science of the total environment
|September 20, 2024
概括
极端气候和干旱影响了萨赫勒地区的农业,边缘耕作解释了农作物产量变化的一半. 可持续农业需要灵活的实践和基于农业影响的更好的干旱定义.
科学领域:
- 农业科学 农业科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 到2050年,全球五分之二的人口面临着粮食生产的土地和水资源短缺.
- 萨赫勒地区由于气候极端和干旱,农田表现不佳.
- 在萨赫勒地区,边缘土地的耕作增加,影响了作物产量.
研究的目的:
- 分析萨赫勒干旱地的动态以及表现不佳的耕地原因.
- 开发一个干旱指数,以确定干旱,气候和可种植区.
- 为萨赫勒地区提供更有效的农业政策干预提供见解.
主要方法:
- 为生长季节 (六月至十月) 开发一个网格式的多标准干旱指数.
- 干旱指数的空间和时间统一性的分析.
- 利用萨赫勒苏丹 (1.03万平方公里) 的数据,从1940年到2020年.
主要成果:
- 边缘土地耕作与和小米作物产量变化有显著的相关性.
- 干旱条件扩大了超干旱地区,并缩小了干旱地区,限制了农业机会.
- 半干旱和干燥的亚湿区显示气候均,适合可持续的农业与熟练的预测.
结论:
- 萨赫勒农业需要基于农业影响的干旱定义,而不仅仅是气象条件.
- 灵活的农业实践和降低风险的计划对于干旱和边缘土地至关重要.
- 熟练的气候预测应该指导政策,以促进萨赫勒地区的可持续农业发展.
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